Dyskusja:Global Warming: Różnice pomiędzy wersjami

The datas for SRES primary fossil energy peak assumptions can be compared with assumptions based on EIA<ref>http://www.eia.gov/cfapps/ipdbproject/IEDIndex3.cfm</ref> fossil reserve and production datas with [[peak coal]] 2030-2035 mainly because of china with about 50% world production but less than 30 years reserves, peak oil 2014-2015 because of less world reserves and actual low price for reinvestments in expensive productions like in USA fracking with less reserves Venezuela sulfid rich tar and polar arctic deep sea oil; and [[peak gas]] 2030-2035 with likely additional fracking gas findings also in china, india etc. and high reserves in USA, russia, gulf countries also in mediterranean sea (about 18 year EU demand). Since the rising rate of carbon dioxide left in atmosphere is under 2ppm annually also after IPCC and NASA it would need over 200 years for a doubling from about 400 ppm today to 800ppm with +0.5° C effect for every +100ppm, all together for +400 ppm +2° C, like the 0.5°C effect assumed before for the rising over warm time normal 280ppm to 380ppm always with other increasing and decreasing effects like cooling from sulfates set free from burning of fossil reserves or vulcanism and solar cycles. In every case no one has fossil reserves for holding 200 years the same exploration rate like today with under +2ppm risin of carbon dioxide annually. Global warming was mainly local at arctic area based on a cooling phase before by streaming changes instead global equal like to be awaited for green house gases and sea level rise was normal most in equatorial area not in main warmed up arctic area based also on river and coast erosion and continental drift not ice melting like not sea level increasing arctic swimming ice melting and just about 2cm in 100 years from greenland ice melting and also not from volume expansion that can`t happen in everywhere always cold deep sea because warm water is always rising to the sea surface increasing night infrared radiation. An equal heating up by greenhouse gases is more storm decreasing than increasing because it is decreasing the storm causation the temperature difference between low and high altitudes with normal main warming up over the earth surface decreased. An ice melting is not causing an acceleration warm up effect called albedo effect over decreased sun ray radiation at day time because of also increased infrared radiation at night time of dark surfaces. Another big source for methane and carbon dioxide increase was also the [[desertification]] in africa and aral sea see also in new O-C-O NASA maps slowed down from increased rainfall by warming up over sea causing more sea water vapourisation as the original source of all rain or other water fallouts. Increased water fallouts, melting of permafrost and more carbon dioxide for plants fertilization caused by carbon dioxide global warming are increasing the biomass on landside thereby rebinding carbon dioxide mainly rebound by photosynthesis and chalk creators inside the world seas producing also as green lunge of the earth about 70% of the world oxygen. The natural conversion of carbon dioxide is about 550 Gt annually compared with about 30Gt annually from human sources but just 12Gt left in atmosphere annually in a self stabilizing [[carbon cycle]] else always already accelerated; long time with always less carbon dioxide left in atmosphere in long time earth climate history. The temperature increase charts 1870-today don`t correlate with carbon dioxide absolute levels rising charts with cooling phase and about same temperature rising at beginning and late phase. The today climate is just a lower than normal peak between about 100 000 years ice times still in a quaternary ice time from long time sun cycles caused by the run time of the sun inner fusion energy by photons to it`s surface about some 10 000 years leading also to sun`s next break in. Sure about global warming is the saving of heating costs, increased harvest times, decrease of all winter damages from snow and ice including coldness deaths and general more urgently needed more rainfall in desertification areas worldwide. [[Polar bears]] did increase in population from about 5000 to 25 000 and are likely liking a warmer not deathly colder climate for hunting seals from ice floes far outside as good long distance swimmers like penguins who must find ice free places for the eggs. In the one side colder antarctica with about 90% of the world ice the ice increasing was approximately 82 Gt per year (with significant regional variation), reducing global sea-level rise by 0.23 mm per year.<ref name="ZwallyEtAl2015">{{citecytuj journalpismo |firstimię=H. Jay |lastnazwisko=Zwally |last2=Li |first2=Jun |last3=Robbins |first3=John W. |last4=Saba |first4=Jack L. |last5=Yi |first5=Donghui |last6=Brenner |first6=Anita C. |titletytuł=Mass gains of the Antarctic ice sheet exceed losses |journalczasopismo=[[Journal of Glaciology]] |datedata=2015 |volumewolumin=Forthcoming |issuewydanie= 230|pagesstrony= 1019|doi=10.3189/2015JoG15J071 }}</ref> In general the amount of animal species are increased in warm times and decreased in ice times like true for humans also today mainly because of loosing the food base caused by desertification, landsides staying all year under ice and sea level decline of about 120m decreasing also fish but greenhouse gas sulfide hexafluoride can solve the problem today for over multiple times 3200 years until fluorine reserves are going out then only laughing gas production left as last chance. The real problem in future is the energy problem left but first after the fossil energy maximum about 2025-2030 and can be solved with atomic power based on over 4 Gt sea water uranium under 300$/kg and thorium enough for 100 000 up to a million years today total world energy demand.<ref>all addings by kayuweboehm(at)yahoo.de including following example values for SRES scenarios exploration peaks</ref>